Tuesday, November 4, 2014

NFL: Week 9, Analysis; Broncos Loss to Patriots // NBA: Early Rankings.

sports-notebook.blogspot.com . . . FOR MORE ANALYSIS, GO TO "MILE HIGH SPORTS RADIO," AM1510 or FM93.7, and to Denver’s best sports blogging team---milehighsports.com. SPORTS NOTEBOOK posts its columns Tuesday and Friday of each week. Ed., Publ., Marvin Leibstone; Copy & Mng. Ed., Gail Kleiner .  
NFL --- QUICKLY after its take from the currently NFL-American Conference West’s 6-2 Denver Broncos on Sunday, the now AC East’s 7-2 N.E. Patriots shifted the NFL-2014 landscape, becoming lead AC + league franchise, set to be at Bye during Week 10, then to face the now AC South’s leading team, the 5-3 Indianapolis Colts, during Week 11, last night the latter having defeated the National Conference East’s third place 3-4 N.Y. Giants, 40-24. . .  THE Broncos are still leading the AC West, second best in the AC, one won game above the now 5-3 K.C. Chiefs, with the S.D. Chargers having dropped to third position within the AC West on Sunday from a 37-0 loss to the AC East’s Miami Dolphins. . . WITHIN the AC North, at the heels of leading team, the 5-2 Cincinnati Bengals, are the now 6-3 Pittsburgh Steelers, the latter having whipped the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday, 43-23, a game during which Steelers QB, Ben Roethlisberger, scored six back-to-back TD’s, an NFL record (During Week 8, Roethlisberger scored six TD’s versus the Colts).  .  . INSIDE the NFL’s National Conference, the NC West’s leading team, the 7-1 Arizona Cardinals, they defeated the NC East’s 5-3 Dallas Cowboys on Sunday, 28-17, joining the Patriots as the second NFL franchise to achieve seven wins. The Cardinals only NFL-2014 loss has been to the Broncos during Week 5, 41-20, the Cardinals now of a two win lead over the NC West’s 5-2 Seattle Seahawks. . . AND, atop the NC East now are the currently 6-2 Philadelphia Eagles from a 31-21 win vs. the AC South’s 4-5 Texans on Sunday, the Cowboys now behind the Eagles from its third loss. . . WITHIN the NC North, leading still are the Detroit Lions at 6-2, second place still the 5-3 Green Bay Packers, both having been at Bye on Sunday. . . A SECOND NC leadership story has the NC South’s 4-4 New Orleans Saints taking the lead over last week’s leading team, the now 3-5 Carolina Panthers, the Saints having beaten the Panthers on Thursday, 28-10. . . THE AC West’s last place + AC and league last place Oakland Raiders still haven’t a playbook or the skill-sets for a win, the team’s at 0-8 after a 30-24 loss to the Seahawks on Sunday. Close to this bottom rung of the ladder are the AC East’s N.Y. Jets at 1-7, the AC South’s Jacksonville Jaguars, 1-8, the NC South’s Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 1-7.
            Broncos, Patriots---IT may have looked like two quarterbacks facing one another inside a ring, the Patriots QB prevailing over the Broncos QB and that’s what caused the Broncos to lose to the Patriots on Sunday, 43-21. No-one thought like this after the Broncos 26-20 loss to the Seattle Seahawks during NFL-2014’s Week 3. Sunday’s NFL Week 9 Broncos loss to the Patriots was even less of a contest among QB’s than was that Broncos/Seahawks game. From comparing Sunday’s Patriots QB Tom Brady and Broncos QB Peyton Manning game data, it’s apparent that a lot more than QB actions determined the final score, for instance, the Broncos defense was obviously wanting during each of the game’s four periods: the 43 points given away to the Brady-led offense was the most allowed to an opposition by the Broncos defense since Week 1, when the Broncos defense gave 24 points away to the AC South’s now 5-3 Indianapolis Colts. During each of the Broncos matches from Week 1 on, including Sunday’s loss to the Patriots, the Broncos Manning-led offense managed to put 20 or more points on the board, winning six of the eight games played, with 24 or fewer points given away by the Broncos defense in any of the six wins. Too, during the Sunday loss to the Patriots, the Broncos achieved only three fewer first downs than the Patriots had, 26 vs. the Patriots 29. Also, the Broncos offense accrued more net yards than the Patriots, 472 over 398, which included more passing yards gained, 429 over 332. In addition, the Broncos average gain per play was more than that of the Patriots, 7.4 above 6.1. And, Manning threw for 438 yards, Brady for 333 yards, Manning completing 34 passes, Brady, 33. But---Brady’s passing yielded four TD’s, Manning’s passes but two, and the Patriots managed to rush for 66 net yards, the Broncos for less, 43. Among key factors behind the Broncos loss, however, were the four Patriots receivers attaining a TD apiece, empowered from Brady’s right-on passing and the Broncos defense unable to keep that from happening when they could have, and surely from Broncos inability to stop that 84 yard run for a TD from Patriots WR, Julian Edelman, and there was no stopping Patriots TE Ron Gronkowski from his gain of 109 yards. It seemed that the Patriots offense expected that a Broncos defense would attempt to keep it from spreading wide and to the sides, an error in that a QB like Tom Brady is most capable of short or long passes and hand-offs down the crowded middle speedily and with great accuracy to receivers shifting directions and to an RB for the rush, thus a Broncos defense concept was perhaps exploited by the Patriots offense, against which the Broncos defense couldn’t recover enough times. Yes, Broncos WR Emanuel Sanders ran for 151 yards and WR Demaryius Thomas for 127 yards, superior in distance to that of the Patriots receivers, the difference being that neither of the two Broncos receivers did so for a TD, more than suggesting that the Broncos WR protection, i.e., a defense within an offense, just wasn’t where it should have been, in addition to the Broncos pass rush being steps behind and so unable to enact enough disorientation or disruption of the Brady passing or rush tactics. The one Broncos sack of Brady yielded a loss of less than two yards. So, a wake-up call for the Broncos defense is this: regression can always occur for the secondary that has shown vast improvements, it’s the two steps forward and one backward syndrome that nearly all improving secondary squads endure during a football season. Next up for the Broncos, the 0-8 Oakland Raiders, and surely the Broncos know that there are rarely slam-dunks for any NFL franchise, no matter its winning record to date. There can’t be an NFL-2014 team that is more hungry for a win as Week 10 approaches than the 0-8 Raiders, and no team can be more concerned about avoiding an embarrassment than the Broncos after its Sunday loss to the Patriots from a 22 point deficit. Next Sunday, the Patriots will be at Bye, then face the AC South’s 5-3 Indianapolis Colts, Week 11. Likely outcomes over the next two weeks means that the Broncos and Patriots will be close in the standings and could meet again as contenders for the AC crown and a Super Bowl billet.
            NBA --- AMONG NBA teams that were post-season competitors during the NBA 2013/14 season and that have had poor starts in the new season, are the Oklahoma City Thunder, having lost three of its four regulation games played so far, landing at 1-3 and last place within the Western Conference’s Northwest Division. Add, the San Antonio Spurs being at 1-1 and at fourth position of the WC’s Southeast Division. Not a surprise, the WC’s Pacific Division’s L.A. Lakers are quite low within the NBA today, last place in the division from having lost all four of its games to date. Also winless as of now are the EC Atlantic Division’s Philadelphia 76ers, the EC Southeast Division’s Orlando Magic, and the EC Central’s Detroit Pistons, 0-4, 0-3 and 0-3 respectively. . . ALSO no surprise, the EC Atlantic’s N.Y Knicks are leading the division at 2-1, the Toronto Raptors close behind, also 2-1, the Brooklyn Nets third, 2-1. .  . WITHIN the EC Southeast, the Miami Heat are on top from 3-0, the Washington Wizards second from 2-1. . . AND, the Chicago Bulls are leading the EC Southeast at 2-1, the Cleveland Cavaliers directly behind them, 1-1. . . INSIDE the WC, the Denver Nuggets are atop the WC Northwest, at 1-1, the Memphis Grizzlies are leading the WC Southwest from 4-0, directly behind them the Houston Rockets, also 4-0. . . THE Golden State Warriors are the WC Pacific’s numero uno, 3-0, the Sacramento Kings to its rear, 2-1. . .  BUT all of this is the NBA season’s “Period Of Adjustment” as HC’s experiment with changes to starting rosters and with minutes allowed per player, with elements of speed and its ratio to conversions to defense and from defense back to offense, and, of course, with many other strategies and tactics. Two or three weeks from now, we will surely see some turnabouts for several of the above-cited franchises. Make no mistake, given that the differences among all of the NBA’s 30 franchises is not so vast that at the start of a season it can be determined which teams will always prevail over others---it’s the smarter HC decisions and the faster learners among players that will be causing the leading differences before a third of the season’s 82 games are history.
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